NASIONALE OESSKATTINGSKOMITEE
NATIONAL CROP ESTIMATES COMMITTEE

Navrae/Enquiries: Rona Beukes
E-pos/E-mail: RonaB@nda.agric.za

Faks/Fax: +27-12-319 6267
Tel: +27-12-319 6154

PLEASE NOTE
Please note that the Crop estimate is compiled by the Crop Estimates Committee of the National Department of Agriculture.  SAGIS is not the source of the crop estimate but only publishes the information for the Crop Estimates Committee.
  Rhona Beukes of the Crop Estimates Committee can be contact with regards to any inquiries concerning the crop estimate.  Tel (012) 3196154

‘n Totaal van 3 700 vraelyste is aan produsente gestuur vir die hersiene opname van die voorneme om  somergraan gewasse vir die 1999/2000-produksieseisoen te plant.  Reaksie is van ongeveer 1 300 produsente ontvang wat aangedui het dat hulle in die komende seisoen meer mielies gaan aanplant as in die 1998/99-seisoen.  Die opname is ten behoewe van die Nasionale Oesskattingskomitee (NOK) gedoen en die inligting weerspieël produsente se  voornemens soos aan die einde van Oktober 1999. 

Verskeie faktore kan egter nog ‘n invloed op hierdie voornemens uitoefen.  Die opname toon dat produsente van voorneme is om sowat 118 900 ha (6%) meer witmielies en 112 800 ha (10%) meer geelmielies te plant as in die vorige seisoen.  Verwagte mielie-aanplantings vir die Vrystaat, Noordwes en Mpumalanga blyk onderskeidelik 10, 8 en 6% hoër te wees.  Hierdie verwagte toename kan hoofsaaklik toegeskryf word aan die feit dat produsente beoog om meer mielies aan te plant in die plek van alternatiewe gewasse soos o.a. sonneblomsaad en grondbone.

Die aanplantings in die oorblywende provinsies blyk ook hoër te wees.  Die verwagte aanplantings van sorghum, droëbone en grondbone toon ‘n toename van onderskeidelik 30, 10 en 2%.  Sonneblomsaad- en sojaboon-aanplantings toon ‘n afname van onderskeidelik 39 en 19%.  Die verwagte afname in die aanplanting van hierdie produkte kan hoofsaaklik toegeskryf word aan swak prysvooruitsigte (binnelands sowel as internasionaal), hoë insetkostes en hoë voorraadvlakke. 

Die grootste gedeelte (80%) van die mielie-aanplantings in Mpumalanga en die oos-Vrystaat is al afgehandel.  In die res van die produksiegebied is toestande om te plant tans baie swak en min vog is opgegaar.  Aanplantings het skaars begin, maar dit is nog nie te laat vir die aanplantings van somergewasse nie.  Die normale raming van oppervlaktes aangeplant, sal gedurende die NOK-vergadering van 20 Januarie 2000 gedoen word.

A total of 3 700 questionnaires were sent to producers for the revised survey of intentions to plant summer grain crops for the 1999/2000 production season.  Replies were received from approximately 1 300 producers who indicated that they intended to plant more maize than in the 1998/99 production season.   The survey was done on behalf of the National Crop Estimates Committee (NCEC) and gives an indication of the intentions of producers as at the end of October 1999.

Various factors can, however, still influence these intentions.   The survey shows that producers intended to plant 118 900 ha (6%) more white maize and 112 800 ha (10%) more yellow maize than in the previous season.  The expected maize plantings for the Free State, North-West and Mpumalanga Provinces appear to be 10, 8 and 6% higher respectively.  The expected increase can be ascribed to the fact that producers intend to plant more maize in stead of alternative crops like sunflower seed and ground-nuts.

The plantings in the remaining provinces also appear to be higher.   The expected areas planted to sorghum, dry beans and ground-nuts show an increase of 30, 10 and 2% respectively.  The plantings of sunflower seed and soya beans show a decrease of 39 and 19% respectively.  The decrease in the planting of these products can mainly be ascribed to poor price expectations (domestic as well as international), high input costs and high stock levels. 

The largest part (80%) of the maize-plantings in Mpumalanga and the eastern Free State has been completed. Conditions in the rest of the production area are poor and the ground moisture levels are insufficient.  Plantings have hardly started, but it isn’t too late to plant summercrops.   The normal estimate of areas planted will be done by the NCEC at its meeting scheduled for 20 January 2000.

OPPERVLAKTE BEPLANT/
AREA PLANTED
1998/99
HA

VOORNEME/INTENTIONS
1999/2000
HA

Soos aan die einde van Okt '99/
 As at the end of Oct '99

1 829 700

1 948 600

1 075 000

1 187 800

2 904 700

3 136 400

98 900

129 000

94 550

96 000

828 000

505 000

130 500

106 000

64 800

71 000

VRYWARING/INDEMNITY
SAGIS neem geen verantwoordelikheid vir enige aksies of verliese wat mag voorkom
as gevolg van die gebruik van hierdie inligting nie. /
SAGIS does not take any responsibility for any actions or losses that might occur
as a result of the usage of this information.

PROVINSIE

WITMIELIES/
WHITE MAIZE

GEELMIELIES/
YELLOW MAIZE

OPPERVLAKTE BEPLANT/
AREA PLANTED 1998/99
HA

VOORNEME/
INTENTIONS 1999/2000
HA

OPPERVLAKTE BEPLANT/
AREA PLANTED 1998/99
HA

VOORNEME/
INTENTIONS 1999/2000
HA

0

0

1 000

1 000

3 700

3600

19 000

22 000

682 000

736 000

360 000

410 000

4 000

5 000

5 000

5 500

37 000

43 000

51 000

52 500

237 000

252 000

313 000

330 000

34 000

31 000

3 000

3 800

60 000

63 000

60 000

60 000

772 000

815 000

263 000

303 000

1 829 700

1 948 600

1 075 000

1 187 800